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NHC Public Advisory

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM EST SUN NOV 04 2001

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS MICHELLE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD 
CUBA...
 
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF
WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA...
INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF AND ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL
BAHAMAS. THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...CAT
ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
  
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.1 WEST OR 
ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM...SOUTH OF HAVANA CUBA.  THIS IS ALSO
ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTH OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR  7 MPH...11 KM/HR... 
AND A NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED 
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THIS 
DANGEROUS HURRICANE SHOULD PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE ISLE OF YOUTH 
LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN ACROSS CUBA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE 
LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  944 MB...27.88 INCHES.
 
RAINBANDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND
JAMAICA.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR THE PATH OF MICHELLE AS IT CROSSES CUBA.  OUTER RAINBANDS ARE
ALSO SPREADING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND THE FLORIDA KEYS.

A STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET...OR 6 METERS...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND
TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL ON THE SOUTH COAST OF
CUBA.
 
REPEATING THE 4 AM EST POSITION...20.4 N... 83.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 944 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM EST.
 
FORECASTER STEWART/PASCH

Last updated: 09/10/12